Northwestern State
Southland · 1-1 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#122
−14.0 pts · likely #92–126
Strength of schedule
13.5
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
6.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.354
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 39.6%
Remaining SOS
34.7
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northwestern State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Alcorn State | W 20-10 | −10.3 | −2.6 | 0.069 | 4 | −4.9 |
| 4 | at Prairie View A&M | L 24-27 | −6.0 | +2.6 | 0.200 | 3 | −7.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs East Texas A&M · p 0.103
- Wk 7: at Houston Christian · p 0.214
- Wk 8: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.584
- Wk 9: vs Lamar · p 0.336
- Wk 10: at McNeese · p 0.318
- Wk 11: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.461
- Wk 12: at Nicholls State · p 0.296
- Wk 13: vs Stephen F. Austin · p 0.467
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at MinnesotaFBS · L 0-66
- Wk 3: at CincinnatiFBS · L 0-70