Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 4-0 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#4
A #25-level team matches it 16% of the time
Power
#19
+9.9 pts · likely #10–49
Strength of schedule
34.5
#40 of 129
Strength of victory
34.5
#7
Record SOS
0.454
Opp. 29.2% · Opp. opp. 77.9%
Remaining SOS
44.4
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Utah Tech | W 38-31 | −3.0 | −2.6 | 0.161 | 3 | +2.2 |
| 3 | at Southern Utah | W 52-49 | +6.9 | +2.6 | 0.512 | 1 | +12.0 |
| 4 | vs Incarnate Word | W 31-23 | +11.5 | −2.6 | 0.498 | 2 | +16.3 |
| 5 | at Portland State | W 31-17 | −5.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Montana State · p 0.815
- Wk 7: at UC Davis · p 0.730
- Wk 9: at Idaho State · p 0.280
- Wk 10: vs Idaho · p 0.435
- Wk 11: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.128
- Wk 12: vs Cal Poly · p 0.352
- Wk 13: at Weber State · p 0.369
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Arizona StateFBS · L 19-38