North Carolina Central
MEAC · 3-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#37
A #25-level team matches it 85% of the time
Power
#32
+7.1 pts · likely #15–58
Strength of schedule
18.6
#78 of 129
Strength of victory
13.3
#25
Record SOS
0.368
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 43.8%
Remaining SOS
20.8
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Carolina Central. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs New Hampshire | L 10-27 | +5.7 | −2.6 | 0.346 | 2 | −10.4 |
| 1 | vs (N) Southern | W 31-14 | −11.0 | 0.0 | 0.088 | 4 | +6.3 |
| 4 | at North Carolina A&T | W 62-20 | −8.8 | +2.6 | 0.150 | 3 | +24.7 |
| 5 | at East Texas A&M | W 50-42 | −8.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Florida A&M · p 0.220
- Wk 9: vs Delaware State · p 0.116
- Wk 10: at Howard · p 0.382
- Wk 11: vs Norfolk State · p 0.055
- Wk 12: vs South Carolina State · p 0.233
- Wk 13: at Morgan State · p 0.238
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Old DominionFBS · L 6-54
- Wk 3: vs Fayetteville StateDII · W 49-19