Nicholls State
Southland · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#44
A #25-level team matches it 89% of the time
Power
#73
−2.1 pts · likely #44–101
Strength of schedule
48.8
#7 of 129
Strength of victory
60.3
1 wins
Record SOS
0.656
Opp. 72.2% · Opp. opp. 52.2%
Remaining SOS
32.8
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Nicholls State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Incarnate Word | W 20-6 | +15.4 | −2.6 | 0.603 | 1 | +22.3 |
| 2 | vs West Georgia | L 10-34 | +10.4 | −2.6 | 0.468 | 2 | −14.6 |
| 5 | at Eastern Kentucky | L 7-27 | +2.4 | +2.6 | 0.394 | 2 | −12.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Lamar · p 0.471
- Wk 8: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.605
- Wk 9: vs McNeese · p 0.205
- Wk 10: vs Houston Christian · p 0.126
- Wk 11: at UTRGV · p 0.261
- Wk 12: vs Northwestern State · p 0.044
- Wk 13: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.584
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at TroyFBS · L 20-38
- Wk 4: at Texas StateFBS · L 3-35