Idaho State
Big Sky · 1-1 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 88% of the time
Power
#70
−1.6 pts · likely #38–102
Strength of schedule
35.3
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
26.1
1 wins
Record SOS
0.335
Opp. 25.0% · Opp. opp. 50.6%
Remaining SOS
55.5
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Idaho State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Southern Utah | L 24-46 | +4.4 | +2.6 | 0.445 | 2 | −13.0 |
| 5 | at Northern Colorado | W 26-18 | −3.0 | +2.6 | 0.261 | 2 | +5.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Montana · p 0.642
- Wk 7: at Montana State · p 0.893
- Wk 9: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.448
- Wk 10: at UC Davis · p 0.730
- Wk 11: vs Cal Poly · p 0.352
- Wk 12: vs Weber State · p 0.247
- Wk 13: at Idaho · p 0.574
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UNLVFBS · L 31-38
- Wk 2: at New MexicoFBS · L 22-32
- Wk 4: vs Lincoln (CA)Non-NCAA · W 90-0