Central Connecticut State
NEC · 1-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#72
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#58
+0.8 pts · likely #33–91
Strength of schedule
22.2
#70 of 129
Strength of victory
3.6
1 wins
Record SOS
0.395
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 51.9%
Remaining SOS
22.2
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Connecticut State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Saint Francis | W 31-7 | −14.9 | −2.6 | 0.036 | 4 | +5.5 |
| 4 | at Merrimack | L 14-16 | −5.6 | +2.6 | 0.208 | 3 | −3.4 |
| 5 | vs Dartmouth | L 28-35 | +8.7 | −2.6 | 0.422 | 2 | −0.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Sacred Heart · p 0.120
- Wk 7: at Robert Morris · p 0.146
- Wk 8: at Wagner · p 0.091
- Wk 10: vs Long Island · p 0.095
- Wk 11: vs Stonehill · p 0.086
- Wk 12: at Duquesne · p 0.442
- Wk 13: vs Mercyhurst · p 0.213
- Wk 14: at Rhode Island · p 0.585
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UConnFBS · L 13-59
- Wk 2: vs American InternationalDII · W 34-7