Central Arkansas
UAC · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#67
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#71
−1.7 pts · likely #44–97
Strength of schedule
43.1
#14 of 129
Strength of victory
4.7
1 wins
Record SOS
0.655
Opp. 83.3% · Opp. opp. 29.7%
Remaining SOS
42.6
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Arkansas. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 41-17 | −13.1 | −2.6 | 0.047 | 4 | +6.1 |
| 3 | vs Tarleton State | L 10-56 | +17.8 | −2.6 | 0.665 | 1 | −16.8 |
| 4 | at Sacramento State | L 16-45 | +6.0 | +2.6 | 0.489 | 2 | −17.6 |
| 5 | at Lamar | L 32-35 | +7.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Utah Tech · p 0.185
- Wk 7: at North Alabama · p 0.366
- Wk 9: at West Georgia · p 0.664
- Wk 10: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.335
- Wk 11: at Austin Peay · p 0.564
- Wk 12: at Southern Utah · p 0.500
- Wk 13: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.371
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MissouriFBS · L 6-61