Butler
Pioneer · 1-2 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#68
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#109
−8.8 pts · likely #73–120
Strength of schedule
23.9
#65 of 129
Strength of victory
5.1
1 wins
Record SOS
0.498
Opp. 55.6% · Opp. opp. 38.4%
Remaining SOS
20.1
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Butler. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Northern Iowa | L 14-38 | −1.2 | +2.6 | 0.303 | 2 | −20.1 |
| 4 | at Weber State | L 24-38 | +1.2 | +2.6 | 0.363 | 2 | −9.8 |
| 5 | vs Marist | W 31-28 | −12.5 | −2.6 | 0.051 | 4 | −11.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.354
- Wk 7: vs Presbyterian · p 0.308
- Wk 8: at Dayton · p 0.183
- Wk 10: vs Drake · p 0.217
- Wk 11: at Morehead State · p 0.047
- Wk 12: at San Diego · p 0.280
- Wk 13: vs Valparaiso · p 0.016
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Truman StateDII · W 37-27
- Wk 3: at HanoverDIII · W 16-7