Bucknell
Patriot · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#45
A #25-level team matches it 90% of the time
Power
#91
−5.6 pts · likely #62–111
Strength of schedule
17.0
#80 of 129
Strength of victory
6.6
#29
Record SOS
0.480
Opp. 41.7% · Opp. opp. 60.8%
Remaining SOS
26.9
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Bucknell. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Marist | W 34-23 | −10.4 | +2.6 | 0.127 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 3 | vs VMI | W 35-28 | −13.0 | −2.6 | 0.047 | 4 | −7.9 |
| 4 | vs Lehigh | L 24-41 | +11.0 | −2.6 | 0.484 | 2 | −8.3 |
| 5 | vs Saint Francis | W 30-23 | −18.0 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Richmond · p 0.374
- Wk 7: at Lafayette · p 0.387
- Wk 8: at Cornell · p 0.263
- Wk 9: vs Georgetown · p 0.092
- Wk 11: at Fordham · p 0.149
- Wk 12: vs Holy Cross · p 0.265
- Wk 13: at Colgate · p 0.350
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Air ForceFBS · L 13-49