Alabama State
SWAC · 2-0 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 56% of the time
Power
#22
+9.4 pts · likely #8–54
Strength of schedule
24.4
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
24.4
2 wins
Record SOS
0.347
Opp. 16.7% · Opp. opp. 70.8%
Remaining SOS
16.9
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alabama State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Southern | W 30-7 | −9.7 | +2.6 | 0.137 | 3 | +14.9 |
| 5 | at Florida A&M | W 42-14 | +0.8 | +2.6 | 0.351 | 2 | +25.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Bethune-Cookman · p 0.102
- Wk 7: at Jackson State · p 0.590
- Wk 9: vs (N) Alabama A&M · p 0.172
- Wk 10: at Prairie View A&M · p 0.175
- Wk 11: vs Texas Southern · p 0.058
- Wk 12: at Mississippi Valley State · p 0.052
- Wk 13: vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff · p 0.032
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UABFBS · L 42-52
- Wk 3: vs Miles CollegeDII · W 37-9