William & Mary
CAA · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#31
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#46
+3.8 pts · likely #22–74
Strength of schedule
16.9
#55 of 129
Strength of victory
12.9
2 wins
Record SOS
0.287
Opp. 16.7% · Opp. opp. 52.8%
Remaining SOS
29.2
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against William & Mary. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Furman | L 21-23 | −2.7 | +1.8 | 0.249 | 3 | −1.8 |
| 2 | vs Maine | W 28-27 | −3.4 | −1.8 | 0.168 | 3 | −2.1 |
| 4 | vs Charleston Southern | W 34-7 | −8.9 | −1.8 | 0.091 | 4 | +13.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Villanova · p 0.415
- Wk 6: vs North Carolina A&T · p 0.051
- Wk 8: vs Elon · p 0.374
- Wk 9: at New Hampshire · p 0.583
- Wk 10: vs UAlbany · p 0.121
- Wk 11: at Campbell · p 0.222
- Wk 12: at Hampton · p 0.143
- Wk 13: vs Richmond · p 0.429
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at VirginiaFBS · L 16-55