Western Illinois
OVC · 1-1 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#94
−5.8 pts · likely #57–114
Strength of schedule
21.1
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
2.6
1 wins
Record SOS
0.125
Opp. 0.0% · Opp. opp. 37.5%
Remaining SOS
27.5
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Valparaiso | W 51-30 | −17.8 | −1.8 | 0.026 | 4 | −0.5 |
| 4 | at Eastern Washington | L 31-52 | +3.3 | +1.8 | 0.396 | 2 | −13.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Eastern Illinois · p 0.090
- Wk 6: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.630
- Wk 7: at UT Martin · p 0.407
- Wk 8: vs Charleston Southern · p 0.059
- Wk 9: at Tennessee State · p 0.215
- Wk 11: vs Lindenwood · p 0.153
- Wk 12: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.286
- Wk 13: at Gardner-Webb · p 0.359
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at IllinoisFBS · L 3-52
- Wk 2: at NorthwesternFBS · L 7-42