Wagner
NEC · 0-2 vs FCS · 0-4 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#121
−13.7 pts · likely #92–126
Strength of schedule
10.7
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.389
Opp. 41.7% · Opp. opp. 33.3%
Remaining SOS
16.8
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Wagner. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Georgetown | L 20-31 | −6.5 | +1.8 | 0.175 | 3 | −16.0 |
| 3 | vs Marist | L 10-21 | −15.1 | −1.8 | 0.040 | 4 | −25.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Norfolk State · p 0.076
- Wk 7: vs Mercyhurst · p 0.250
- Wk 8: vs Central Connecticut State · p 0.279
- Wk 9: vs Duquesne · p 0.299
- Wk 10: at Saint Francis · p 0.047
- Wk 11: at Robert Morris · p 0.123
- Wk 12: vs Stonehill · p 0.093
- Wk 13: at Long Island · p 0.178
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at KansasFBS · L 7-46
- Wk 4: at Central MichiganFBS · L 10-49