UC Davis
Big Sky · 2-0 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 41% of the time
Power
#7
+14.7 pts · likely #4–33
Strength of schedule
35.5
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
35.5
2 wins
Record SOS
0.519
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 88.9%
Remaining SOS
43.4
10 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UC Davis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Utah Tech | W 31-24 | +0.9 | +1.8 | 0.334 | 2 | +10.4 |
| 4 | vs Southern Utah | W 50-34 | +6.1 | −1.8 | 0.377 | 2 | +19.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Weber State · p 0.315
- Wk 6: at Cal Poly · p 0.339
- Wk 7: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.456
- Wk 9: at Northern Colorado · p 0.246
- Wk 10: vs Idaho State · p 0.136
- Wk 11: at Idaho · p 0.596
- Wk 12: at Montana State · p 0.849
- Wk 13: vs Sacramento State · p 0.540
- Wk 15: vs Rhode Island · p 0.472
- Wk 17: vs Illinois State · p 0.390
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at WashingtonFBS · L 10-70