Towson
CAA · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#21
A #25-level team matches it 82% of the time
Power
#37
+5.8 pts · likely #18–69
Strength of schedule
28.3
#32 of 129
Strength of victory
17.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.503
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 50.9%
Remaining SOS
26.5
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Towson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Norfolk State | W 27-7 | −8.4 | +1.8 | 0.144 | 3 | +11.6 |
| 2 | at Morgan State | W 27-22 | −4.7 | +1.8 | 0.209 | 3 | +3.2 |
| 4 | vs Youngstown State | L 28-31 | +10.6 | −1.8 | 0.495 | 2 | +5.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Bryant · p 0.193
- Wk 6: vs Elon · p 0.374
- Wk 7: vs Monmouth · p 0.474
- Wk 9: at Stony Brook · p 0.343
- Wk 10: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.081
- Wk 11: vs Villanova · p 0.325
- Wk 12: at UAlbany · p 0.177
- Wk 13: vs Campbell · p 0.157
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at MarylandFBS · L 17-44