The Citadel
Southern · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#37
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#92
−5.6 pts · likely #64–110
Strength of schedule
43.0
#12 of 129
Strength of victory
18.3
1 wins
Record SOS
0.553
Opp. 62.5% · Opp. opp. 41.0%
Remaining SOS
30.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against The Citadel. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs North Dakota State | L 0-38 | +27.4 | −1.8 | 0.871 | 1 | −8.7 |
| 2 | at Samford | W 40-13 | −6.1 | +1.8 | 0.183 | 3 | +17.4 |
| 3 | at Gardner-Webb | L 13-23 | +1.6 | +1.8 | 0.351 | 2 | −6.6 |
| 4 | vs Mercer | L 0-38 | +3.7 | −1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Chattanooga · p 0.339
- Wk 8: vs Western Carolina · p 0.259
- Wk 9: at Furman · p 0.282
- Wk 10: vs VMI · p 0.062
- Wk 12: vs Wofford · p 0.290
- Wk 13: at East Tennessee State · p 0.584