Tennessee State
OVC · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-2 overall
Strength of record
#46
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#83
−4.1 pts · likely #55–107
Strength of schedule
36.1
#20 of 129
Strength of victory
3.7
1 wins
Record SOS
0.651
Opp. 83.3% · Opp. opp. 28.7%
Remaining SOS
26.3
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs North Carolina A&T | W 24-21 | −15.5 | −1.8 | 0.037 | 4 | −12.3 |
| 2 | vs North Dakota State | L 3-59 | +27.2 | −1.8 | 0.868 | 1 | −8.7 |
| 3 | vs Alabama A&M | L 21-23 | −2.8 | −1.8 | 0.179 | 3 | −5.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Tennessee Tech · p 0.537
- Wk 6: at Eastern Illinois · p 0.135
- Wk 7: at Southeast Missouri State · p 0.372
- Wk 8: vs Howard · p 0.267
- Wk 9: vs Western Illinois · p 0.130
- Wk 10: vs Lindenwood · p 0.153
- Wk 11: at UT Martin · p 0.407
- Wk 12: vs Gardner-Webb · p 0.274
- Wk 13: at Charleston Southern · p 0.092