Stony Brook
CAA · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#47
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#60
+1.4 pts · likely #33–87
Strength of schedule
22.5
#46 of 129
Strength of victory
6.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.417
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 25.0%
Remaining SOS
28.2
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stony Brook. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Rhode Island | L 17-31 | +8.0 | −1.8 | 0.426 | 2 | −6.1 |
| 3 | vs Fordham | W 41-18 | −11.1 | −1.8 | 0.069 | 4 | +8.3 |
| 4 | at Lindenwood | L 27-30 | −6.4 | +1.8 | 0.178 | 3 | −5.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Merrimack · p 0.257
- Wk 6: at UAlbany · p 0.177
- Wk 8: at Monmouth · p 0.569
- Wk 9: vs Towson · p 0.373
- Wk 10: at Maine · p 0.280
- Wk 11: vs North Carolina A&T · p 0.051
- Wk 12: at Villanova · p 0.415
- Wk 13: vs Bryant · p 0.134
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at San Diego StateFBS · L 0-42