Southern
SWAC · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#48
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#109
−10.1 pts · likely #79–121
Strength of schedule
24.2
#42 of 129
Strength of victory
4.6
1 wins
Record SOS
0.352
Opp. 25.0% · Opp. opp. 55.6%
Remaining SOS
15.9
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Mississippi Valley State | W 34-29 | −17.5 | +1.8 | 0.046 | 4 | −10.8 |
| 1 | vs (N) North Carolina Central | L 14-31 | +7.7 | 0.0 | 0.464 | 2 | −9.1 |
| 2 | vs Alabama State | L 7-30 | −0.8 | −1.8 | 0.216 | 3 | −20.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Jackson State · p 0.416
- Wk 7: at Bethune-Cookman · p 0.144
- Wk 8: vs Prairie View A&M · p 0.079
- Wk 9: vs Florida A&M · p 0.238
- Wk 10: at Arkansas-Pine Bluff · p 0.039
- Wk 11: at Alcorn State · p 0.113
- Wk 12: vs Texas Southern · p 0.069
- Wk 14: vs (N) Grambling State · p 0.177
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Fresno StateFBS · L 7-56