Northern Colorado
Big Sky · 1-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 85% of the time
Power
#78
−3.0 pts · likely #45–105
Strength of schedule
47.0
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
21.3
1 wins
Record SOS
0.278
Opp. 25.0% · Opp. opp. 33.3%
Remaining SOS
48.7
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Colorado. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at South Dakota | L 17-24 OT | +16.1 | +1.8 | 0.727 | 1 | +11.2 |
| 4 | at Houston Christian | W 26-23 OT | −4.5 | +1.8 | 0.213 | 3 | −0.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Idaho State · p 0.136
- Wk 7: at Idaho · p 0.596
- Wk 8: at Sacramento State · p 0.633
- Wk 9: vs UC Davis · p 0.602
- Wk 10: vs Montana State · p 0.786
- Wk 11: at Northern Arizona · p 0.551
- Wk 12: at Eastern Washington · p 0.456
- Wk 13: vs Portland State · p 0.136
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Chadron StateDII · W 17-3
- Wk 2: at Colorado StateFBS · L 17-21