North Dakota
MVFC · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#24
A #25-level team matches it 84% of the time
Power
#8
+14.1 pts · likely #5–31
Strength of schedule
32.7
#25 of 129
Strength of victory
10.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.444
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 66.7%
Remaining SOS
57.8
10 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Portland State | W 50-20 | −2.4 | −1.8 | 0.186 | 3 | +23.4 |
| 3 | at Montana | L 23-24 | +18.5 | +1.8 | 0.777 | 1 | +17.8 |
| 4 | vs Valparaiso | W 58-7 | −20.0 | −1.8 | 0.018 | 4 | +13.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Northern Iowa · p 0.392
- Wk 7: vs Youngstown State · p 0.496
- Wk 8: at Southern Illinois · p 0.768
- Wk 9: vs Indiana State · p 0.188
- Wk 10: at South Dakota · p 0.631
- Wk 11: vs North Dakota State · p 0.883
- Wk 12: at Murray State · p 0.112
- Wk 13: vs South Dakota State · p 0.842
- Wk 14: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.630
- Wk 15: at Tarleton State · p 0.838
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Kansas StateFBS · L 35-38