Monmouth
CAA · 3-0 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#8
A #25-level team matches it 39% of the time
Power
#20
+10.0 pts · likely #9–52
Strength of schedule
25.6
#40 of 129
Strength of victory
25.6
#7
Record SOS
0.491
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 47.2%
Remaining SOS
23.5
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Monmouth. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Delaware State · p 0.128
- Wk 7: at Towson · p 0.466
- Wk 8: vs Stony Brook · p 0.259
- Wk 9: at Hampton · p 0.143
- Wk 10: at Bryant · p 0.193
- Wk 11: vs New Hampshire · p 0.488
- Wk 12: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.081
- Wk 13: vs UAlbany · p 0.121
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at CharlotteFBS · L 35-42