Merrimack
FCS Indep. · 1-0 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 71% of the time
Power
#63
+1.1 pts · likely #28–95
Strength of schedule
28.9
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
28.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.667
Opp. 100.0% · Opp. opp. 0.0%
Remaining SOS
22.5
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (1)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Merrimack. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | vs Central Connecticut State | W 16-14 | +2.5 | −1.8 | 0.289 | 2 | +2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Stony Brook · p 0.343
- Wk 6: vs Robert Morris · p 0.081
- Wk 7: vs Maine · p 0.205
- Wk 8: at Harvard · p 0.551
- Wk 10: at Colgate · p 0.299
- Wk 11: at New Haven · p 0.079
- Wk 12: at Sacred Heart · p 0.191
- Wk 13: vs Fordham · p 0.053
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Kent StateFBS · L 17-21
- Wk 2: vs St. AnselmDII · W 31-6
- Wk 3: at Kennesaw StateFBS · L 13-27