Illinois State
MVFC · 3-0 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#13
A #25-level team matches it 65% of the time
Power
#32
+6.7 pts · likely #14–66
Strength of schedule
13.0
#57 of 129
Strength of victory
13.0
#12
Record SOS
0.296
Opp. 16.7% · Opp. opp. 55.6%
Remaining SOS
59.1
13 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Illinois State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Morehead State | W 41-13 | −16.0 | −1.8 | 0.034 | 4 | +9.4 |
| 3 | at Eastern Illinois | W 42-30 | −9.6 | +1.8 | 0.127 | 3 | +4.9 |
| 4 | vs North Alabama | W 38-36 OT | −0.3 | −1.8 | 0.228 | 3 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs North Dakota State · p 0.883
- Wk 7: at Murray State · p 0.112
- Wk 8: vs Youngstown State · p 0.496
- Wk 9: at South Dakota · p 0.631
- Wk 10: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.304
- Wk 11: at Indiana State · p 0.259
- Wk 12: at South Dakota State · p 0.893
- Wk 13: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.689
- Wk 14: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.573
- Wk 15: at North Dakota State · p 0.924
- Wk 17: vs (N) Montana State · p 0.819
- Wk 17: at UC Davis · p 0.691
- Wk 17: at Villanova · p 0.415
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at OklahomaFBS · L 3-35