Dayton
Pioneer · 1-1 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#107
−9.9 pts · likely #77–122
Strength of schedule
13.0
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
15.1
1 wins
Record SOS
0.194
Opp. 0.0% · Opp. opp. 58.3%
Remaining SOS
11.1
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dayton. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Eastern Illinois | L 14-24 | −11.0 | +1.8 | 0.108 | 3 | −17.1 |
| 4 | at Robert Morris | W 17-14 | −7.9 | +1.8 | 0.151 | 3 | −4.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Stetson · p 0.005
- Wk 6: at Morehead State · p 0.050
- Wk 7: at Valparaiso · p 0.033
- Wk 8: vs Butler · p 0.101
- Wk 9: vs Presbyterian · p 0.238
- Wk 10: at San Diego · p 0.200
- Wk 12: vs Drake · p 0.238
- Wk 13: at Davidson · p 0.023
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Thomas More CollegeDII · W 38-0