Bucknell
Patriot · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#29
A #25-level team matches it 92% of the time
Power
#82
−4.0 pts · likely #57–106
Strength of schedule
22.4
#47 of 129
Strength of victory
8.4
2 wins
Record SOS
0.648
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 61.1%
Remaining SOS
25.2
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Bucknell. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Saint Francis · p 0.028
- Wk 6: vs Richmond · p 0.429
- Wk 7: at Lafayette · p 0.454
- Wk 8: at Cornell · p 0.244
- Wk 9: vs Georgetown · p 0.126
- Wk 11: at Fordham · p 0.084
- Wk 12: vs Holy Cross · p 0.355
- Wk 13: at Colgate · p 0.299
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Air ForceFBS · L 13-49