Valparaiso
Pioneer · 0-1 vs FCS · 1-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#127
−19.4 pts · likely #111–128
Strength of schedule
18.6
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
—
Remaining SOS
21.4
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (1)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Valparaiso. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Western Illinois | L 30-51 | −4.6 | +0.5 | 0.186 | 3 | −23.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: at North Dakota · p 0.625
- Wk 6: at Drake · p 0.339
- Wk 7: vs Dayton · p 0.072
- Wk 8: at St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.312
- Wk 9: vs Morehead State · p 0.038
- Wk 10: at Presbyterian · p 0.238
- Wk 11: vs San Diego · p 0.158
- Wk 12: vs Stetson · p 0.006
- Wk 13: at Butler · p 0.141
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 67-10
- Wk 2: vs AdrianDIII · L 7-10