UC Davis
Big Sky · 1-0 vs FCS · 1-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 79% of the time
Power
#9
+11.6 pts · likely #6–48
Strength of schedule
21.4
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
21.4
1 wins
Record SOS
0.333
Opp. 0.0% · Opp. opp. 100.0%
Remaining SOS
43.4
11 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (1)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UC Davis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Utah Tech | W 31-24 | −3.1 | +0.5 | 0.214 | 3 | +5.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs Southern Utah · p 0.406
- Wk 5: vs Weber State · p 0.335
- Wk 6: at Cal Poly · p 0.359
- Wk 7: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.456
- Wk 9: at Northern Colorado · p 0.181
- Wk 10: vs Idaho State · p 0.154
- Wk 11: at Idaho · p 0.554
- Wk 12: at Montana State · p 0.864
- Wk 13: vs Sacramento State · p 0.479
- Wk 15: vs Rhode Island · p 0.516
- Wk 17: vs Illinois State · p 0.469
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at WashingtonFBS · L 10-70