Towson
CAA · 2-0 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 70% of the time
Power
#40
+5.4 pts · likely #16–74
Strength of schedule
16.1
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
16.1
2 wins
Record SOS
—
Remaining SOS
31.4
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Towson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Norfolk State | W 27-7 | −7.6 | +0.5 | 0.137 | 3 | +10.6 |
| 2 | at Morgan State | W 27-22 | −4.7 | +0.5 | 0.185 | 3 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs Youngstown State · p 0.540
- Wk 5: at Bryant · p 0.159
- Wk 6: vs Elon · p 0.452
- Wk 7: vs Monmouth · p 0.420
- Wk 9: at Stony Brook · p 0.385
- Wk 10: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.141
- Wk 11: vs Villanova · p 0.442
- Wk 12: at UAlbany · p 0.106
- Wk 13: vs Campbell · p 0.183
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at MarylandFBS · L 17-44