The Citadel
Southern · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-2 overall
Strength of record
#10
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#68
−0.5 pts · likely #40–95
Strength of schedule
47.0
#4 of 129
Strength of victory
18.5
1 wins
Record SOS
0.602
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 47.2%
Remaining SOS
30.6
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against The Citadel. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs North Dakota State | L 0-38 | +28.9 | −0.5 | 0.907 | 1 | −5.3 |
| 2 | at Samford | W 40-13 | −4.7 | +0.5 | 0.185 | 3 | +17.1 |
| 3 | at Gardner-Webb | L 13-23 | +1.5 | +0.5 | 0.316 | 2 | −6.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs Mercer · p 0.361
- Wk 5: at Chattanooga · p 0.352
- Wk 8: vs Western Carolina · p 0.324
- Wk 9: at Furman · p 0.237
- Wk 10: vs VMI · p 0.080
- Wk 12: vs Wofford · p 0.280
- Wk 13: at East Tennessee State · p 0.505