St. Thomas (MN)
Pioneer · 1-1 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 86% of the time
Power
#61
+0.9 pts · likely #30–93
Strength of schedule
41.1
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
24.3
1 wins
Record SOS
0.750
Opp. 100.0% · Opp. opp. 25.0%
Remaining SOS
21.3
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against St. Thomas (MN). p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Lindenwood | W 35-13 | −0.8 | −0.5 | 0.243 | 3 | +15.8 |
| 2 | at Idaho | L 30-37 | +11.5 | +0.5 | 0.579 | 1 | +3.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at San Diego · p 0.174
- Wk 6: vs Butler · p 0.128
- Wk 7: at Davidson · p 0.023
- Wk 8: vs Valparaiso · p 0.025
- Wk 9: at Stetson · p 0.007
- Wk 10: vs Marist · p 0.076
- Wk 11: at Drake · p 0.339
- Wk 12: vs Presbyterian · p 0.219
- Wk 13: at North Dakota State · p 0.931
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Northern MichiganDII · W 20-7