Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 2-0 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 44% of the time
Power
#26
+7.8 pts · likely #11–63
Strength of schedule
32.7
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
32.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.417
Opp. 25.0% · Opp. opp. 75.0%
Remaining SOS
39.5
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Utah Tech | W 38-31 | −2.3 | −0.5 | 0.212 | 3 | +4.9 |
| 3 | at Southern Utah | W 52-49 | +6.4 | +0.5 | 0.442 | 2 | +9.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.407
- Wk 5: at Portland State · p 0.163
- Wk 6: vs Montana State · p 0.850
- Wk 7: at UC Davis · p 0.579
- Wk 9: at Idaho State · p 0.170
- Wk 10: vs Idaho · p 0.529
- Wk 11: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.165
- Wk 12: vs Cal Poly · p 0.336
- Wk 13: at Weber State · p 0.358
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Arizona StateFBS · L 19-38