Illinois State
MVFC · 2-0 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 84% of the time
Power
#23
+8.3 pts · likely #10–59
Strength of schedule
8.2
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
8.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.500
Opp. 25.0% · Opp. opp. 100.0%
Remaining SOS
56.8
14 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Illinois State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Morehead State | W 41-13 | −15.7 | −0.5 | 0.044 | 4 | +11.0 |
| 3 | at Eastern Illinois | W 42-30 | −8.7 | +0.5 | 0.121 | 3 | +4.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs North Alabama · p 0.277
- Wk 6: vs North Dakota State · p 0.922
- Wk 7: at Murray State · p 0.091
- Wk 8: vs Youngstown State · p 0.540
- Wk 9: at South Dakota · p 0.532
- Wk 10: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.414
- Wk 11: at Indiana State · p 0.359
- Wk 12: at South Dakota State · p 0.882
- Wk 13: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.579
- Wk 14: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.530
- Wk 15: at North Dakota State · p 0.931
- Wk 17: vs (N) Montana State · p 0.857
- Wk 17: at UC Davis · p 0.579
- Wk 17: at Villanova · p 0.467
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at OklahomaFBS · L 3-35