Central Connecticut State
NEC · 1-0 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 86% of the time
Power
#41
+5.3 pts · likely #14–77
Strength of schedule
14.0
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
14.0
1 wins
Record SOS
—
Remaining SOS
24.1
10 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (1)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Connecticut State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Saint Francis | W 31-7 | −6.4 | −0.5 | 0.140 | 3 | +13.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: at Merrimack · p 0.294
- Wk 5: vs Dartmouth · p 0.409
- Wk 6: vs Sacred Heart · p 0.142
- Wk 7: at Robert Morris · p 0.125
- Wk 8: at Wagner · p 0.076
- Wk 10: vs Long Island · p 0.161
- Wk 11: vs Stonehill · p 0.083
- Wk 12: at Duquesne · p 0.357
- Wk 13: vs Mercyhurst · p 0.224
- Wk 14: at Rhode Island · p 0.541
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UConnFBS · L 13-59
- Wk 2: vs American InternationalDII · W 34-7