Tennessee State
OVC · 1-1 vs FCS · 1-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#77
−2.3 pts · likely #43–104
Strength of schedule
48.1
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
6.3
1 wins
Record SOS
0.833
Opp. 100.0% · Opp. opp. 50.0%
Remaining SOS
28.2
10 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs North Carolina A&T | W 24-21 | −12.2 | −1.3 | 0.063 | 4 | −7.9 |
| 2 | vs North Dakota State | L 3-59 | +29.0 | −1.3 | 0.898 | 1 | −6.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 3: vs Alabama A&M · p 0.187
- Wk 5: vs Tennessee Tech · p 0.566
- Wk 6: at Eastern Illinois · p 0.133
- Wk 7: at Southeast Missouri State · p 0.483
- Wk 8: vs Howard · p 0.153
- Wk 9: vs Western Illinois · p 0.155
- Wk 10: vs Lindenwood · p 0.115
- Wk 11: at UT Martin · p 0.590
- Wk 12: vs Gardner-Webb · p 0.282
- Wk 13: at Charleston Southern · p 0.156