Tarleton State
UAC · 2-0 vs FCS · 3-0 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 73% of the time
Power
#4
+16.8 pts · likely #3–28
Strength of schedule
14.0
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
14.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.250
Opp. 0.0% · Opp. opp. 75.0%
Remaining SOS
41.0
11 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Portland State | W 42-0 | −2.2 | +1.3 | 0.251 | 2 | +29.5 |
| 2 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 59-3 | −17.7 | −1.3 | 0.029 | 4 | +16.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 3: at Central Arkansas · p 0.463
- Wk 4: vs Chattanooga · p 0.275
- Wk 6: vs Southern Utah · p 0.401
- Wk 7: at Utah Tech · p 0.273
- Wk 8: vs West Georgia · p 0.513
- Wk 9: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.467
- Wk 10: at Abilene Christian · p 0.550
- Wk 12: vs North Alabama · p 0.269
- Wk 13: vs Austin Peay · p 0.318
- Wk 15: vs North Dakota · p 0.570
- Wk 17: vs Villanova · p 0.413
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at ArmyFBS · W 30-27