Cal Poly
Big Sky · 1-0 vs FCS · 1-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 66% of the time
Power
#48
+3.5 pts · likely #19–88
Strength of schedule
34.2
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
34.2
1 wins
Record SOS
1.000
Opp. 100.0% · Opp. opp. 100.0%
Remaining SOS
44.7
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (1)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Cal Poly. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at San Diego | W 41-17 | +1.7 | +1.3 | 0.342 | 2 | +21.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.456
- Wk 5: at Sacramento State · p 0.454
- Wk 6: vs UC Davis · p 0.541
- Wk 7: at Montana · p 0.617
- Wk 9: vs Montana State · p 0.816
- Wk 10: vs Portland State · p 0.120
- Wk 11: at Idaho State · p 0.195
- Wk 12: at Northern Arizona · p 0.485
- Wk 13: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.338
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at UtahFBS · L 9-63