Tarleton State
UAC · 11-1 vs FCS · 12-1 overall
Strength of record
#5
A #25-level team matches it 2.4% of the time
Power
#3
+21.4 pts · likely #2–8
Strength of schedule
35.8
#44 of 129
Strength of victory
33.1
#17
Record SOS
0.472
Opp. 44.6% · Opp. opp. 52.4%
Remaining SOS
64.3
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
5-0
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (12)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Portland State | W 42-0 | −8.6 | +1.6 | 0.138 | 3 | +27.8 |
| 2 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 59-3 | −22.1 | −1.6 | 0.013 | 4 | +12.9 |
| 3 | at Central Arkansas | W 56-10 | +2.1 | +1.6 | 0.358 | 2 | +37.2 |
| 4 | vs Chattanooga | W 52-24 | −1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 17: vs Villanova · p 0.643
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at ArmyFBS · W 30-27