Incarnate Word
Southland · 5-6 vs FCS · 5-7 overall
Strength of record
#65
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#35
+6.3 pts · likely #22–57
Strength of schedule
36.6
#40 of 129
Strength of victory
30.9
#21
Record SOS
0.510
Opp. 51.5% · Opp. opp. 50.0%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-3
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Incarnate Word. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Nicholls State | L 6-20 | −2.1 | +1.6 | 0.259 | 2 | −13.7 |
| 1 | vs Eastern Washington | W 31-21 | +4.3 | −1.6 | 0.336 | 2 | +12.8 |
| 4 | at Northern Arizona | L 23-31 | +6.7 | +1.6 | 0.481 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 5 | vs Abilene Christian | W 38-7 | +17.5 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at UTSAFBS · L 20-48