Villanova
CAA · 11-1 vs FCS · 11-2 overall
Strength of record
#4
A #25-level team matches it 1.7% of the time
Power
#7
+16.8 pts · likely #4–18
Strength of schedule
37.7
#38 of 129
Strength of victory
36.4
#12
Record SOS
0.582
Opp. 61.9% · Opp. opp. 50.8%
Remaining SOS
72.2
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
3-1
Tier 2
Strong
4-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (12)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Colgate | W 24-17 | +0.1 | −1.6 | 0.239 | 3 | +5.3 |
| 4 | at Monmouth | L 33-51 | +8.2 | +1.6 | 0.520 | 1 | −7.6 |
| 5 | vs William & Mary | W 31-24 | +4.6 | −1.6 | 0.344 | 2 | +11.1 |
| 6 | at New Hampshire | W 37-7 | +9.3 | +1.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 17: at Tarleton State · p 0.848
- Wk 17: vs Illinois State · p 0.596
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Penn StateFBS · L 6-52