Sacramento State
Big Sky · 7-4 vs FCS · 7-5 overall
Strength of record
#32
A #25-level team matches it 55% of the time
Power
#21
+10.8 pts · likely #13–37
Strength of schedule
39.5
#33 of 129
Strength of victory
26.7
#32
Record SOS
0.492
Opp. 46.7% · Opp. opp. 54.3%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
4-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Sacramento State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at South Dakota State | L 3-20 | +16.8 | +1.6 | 0.738 | 1 | +1.5 |
| 3 | vs Mercyhurst | W 49-28 | −4.0 | −1.6 | 0.162 | 3 | +14.4 |
| 4 | vs Central Arkansas | W 45-16 | +2.4 | −1.6 | 0.290 | 2 | +28.4 |
| 5 | vs Cal Poly | L 24-32 | +2.6 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at NevadaFBS · L 17-20