North Dakota
MVFC · 8-5 vs FCS · 8-6 overall
Strength of record
#16
A #25-level team matches it 19% of the time
Power
#5
+18.6 pts · likely #3–13
Strength of schedule
51.7
#6 of 129
Strength of victory
35.2
#14
Record SOS
0.557
Opp. 56.5% · Opp. opp. 54.2%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
3-5
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (13)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Portland State | W 50-20 | −9.2 | −1.6 | 0.090 | 4 | +19.9 |
| 3 | at Montana | L 23-24 | +20.4 | +1.6 | 0.811 | 1 | +20.6 |
| 4 | vs Valparaiso | W 58-7 | −25.3 | −1.6 | 0.007 | 4 | +10.0 |
| 6 | at Northern Iowa | W 35-7 | +2.4 | +1.6 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Kansas StateFBS · L 35-38