Mercer
Southern · 9-1 vs FCS · 9-2 overall
Strength of record
#17
A #25-level team matches it 19% of the time
Power
#9
+16.0 pts · likely #4–21
Strength of schedule
26.9
#88 of 129
Strength of victory
27.9
#27
Record SOS
0.475
Opp. 46.6% · Opp. opp. 49.4%
Remaining SOS
54.2
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
4-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Presbyterian | L 10-15 | −2.9 | −1.6 | 0.180 | 3 | −8.5 |
| 3 | vs Wofford | W 22-21 | +4.5 | −1.6 | 0.338 | 2 | +5.2 |
| 4 | at The Citadel | W 38-0 | +0.1 | +1.6 | 0.310 | 2 | +34.9 |
| 5 | at East Tennessee State | W 38-34 | +7.6 | +1.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 15: vs South Dakota · p 0.542
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 13: at AuburnFBS · L 17-62