Central Connecticut State
NEC · 7-4 vs FCS · 8-5 overall
Strength of record
#56
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#53
+2.6 pts · likely #36–73
Strength of schedule
23.2
#102 of 129
Strength of victory
13.2
#82
Record SOS
0.476
Opp. 48.2% · Opp. opp. 46.4%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
6-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Connecticut State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Saint Francis | W 31-7 | −15.8 | −1.6 | 0.037 | 4 | +7.7 |
| 4 | at Merrimack | L 14-16 | −6.5 | +1.6 | 0.173 | 3 | −6.2 |
| 5 | vs Dartmouth | L 28-35 | +5.9 | −1.6 | 0.374 | 2 | −2.9 |
| 6 | vs Sacred Heart | W 42-35 OT | −2.8 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UConnFBS · L 13-59
- Wk 2: vs American InternationalDII · W 34-7