St. Thomas (MN)
Pioneer · 6-5 vs FCS · 7-5 overall
Strength of record
#78
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#60
+1.5 pts · likely #40–78
Strength of schedule
24.1
#95 of 129
Strength of victory
12.8
#84
Record SOS
0.491
Opp. 49.2% · Opp. opp. 48.9%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
4-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against St. Thomas (MN). p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Lindenwood | W 35-13 | +3.5 | −1.6 | 0.317 | 2 | +22.9 |
| 2 | at Idaho | L 30-37 | +3.6 | +1.6 | 0.398 | 2 | −1.9 |
| 5 | at San Diego | L 27-30 | −1.4 | +1.6 | 0.276 | 2 | −2.1 |
| 6 | vs Butler | L 14-21 OT | −10.9 | −1.6 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Northern MichiganDII · W 20-7