Northern Colorado
Big Sky · 3-7 vs FCS · 4-8 overall
Strength of record
#73
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#87
−5.0 pts · likely #68–103
Strength of schedule
45.3
#9 of 129
Strength of victory
21.3
#48
Record SOS
0.514
Opp. 51.4% · Opp. opp. 51.4%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-4
Tier 2
Strong
1-3
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Colorado. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at South Dakota | L 17-24 OT | +12.1 | +1.6 | 0.625 | 1 | +10.1 |
| 4 | at Houston Christian | W 26-23 OT | −13.1 | +1.6 | 0.082 | 4 | −8.7 |
| 5 | vs Idaho State | L 18-26 | +6.9 | −1.6 | 0.403 | 2 | −1.7 |
| 7 | at Idaho | W 49-33 | +6.4 | +1.6 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Chadron StateDII · W 17-3
- Wk 2: at Colorado StateFBS · L 17-21