Dayton
Pioneer · 6-4 vs FCS · 7-4 overall
Strength of record
#90
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#86
−4.9 pts · likely #66–105
Strength of schedule
11.9
#129 of 129
Strength of victory
7.8
#97
Record SOS
0.413
Opp. 38.3% · Opp. opp. 47.5%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
4-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dayton. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Eastern Illinois | L 14-24 | −7.9 | +1.6 | 0.150 | 3 | −15.6 |
| 4 | at Robert Morris | W 17-14 | −9.7 | +1.6 | 0.122 | 3 | −4.3 |
| 5 | vs Stetson | W 48-14 | −27.7 | −1.6 | 0.005 | 4 | +3.9 |
| 6 | at Morehead State | W 35-28 | −17.9 | +1.6 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Thomas More CollegeDII · W 38-0