Yale
Ivy · 7-2 vs FCS · 7-2 overall
Strength of record
#25
A #25-level team matches it 39% of the time
Power
#21
+11.3 pts · likely #10–35
Strength of schedule
32.3
#58 of 129
Strength of victory
23.7
#41
Record SOS
0.524
Opp. 48.9% · Opp. opp. 59.4%
Remaining SOS
75.6
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Yale. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | vs Holy Cross | W 28-10 | +0.2 | −1.9 | 0.234 | 3 | +16.1 |
| 5 | vs Cornell | W 41-24 | −0.7 | −1.9 | 0.215 | 3 | +14.9 |
| 6 | at Lehigh | L 13-31 | +16.4 | +1.9 | 0.736 | 1 | +1.1 |
| 7 | at Dartmouth | L 16-17 | +7.6 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs Harvard · p 0.696
- Wk 14: at Youngstown State · p 0.658
- Wk 15: at Montana State · p 0.914