Tarleton State
UAC · 9-1 vs FCS · 10-1 overall
Strength of record
#7
A #25-level team matches it 12% of the time
Power
#3
+21.6 pts · likely #2–8
Strength of schedule
30.8
#66 of 129
Strength of victory
27.3
#29
Record SOS
0.447
Opp. 39.9% · Opp. opp. 54.4%
Remaining SOS
54.1
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
4-0
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Portland State | W 42-0 | −8.8 | +1.9 | 0.141 | 3 | +27.6 |
| 2 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 59-3 | −22.2 | −1.9 | 0.012 | 4 | +12.0 |
| 3 | at Central Arkansas | W 56-10 | +2.7 | +1.9 | 0.384 | 2 | +38.3 |
| 4 | vs Chattanooga | W 52-24 | +0.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs Austin Peay · p 0.393
- Wk 15: vs North Dakota · p 0.696
- Wk 17: vs Villanova · p 0.534
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at ArmyFBS · W 30-27