Morgan State
MEAC · 1-5 vs FCS · 4-7 overall
Strength of record
#108
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#84
−4.7 pts · likely #63–104
Strength of schedule
23.1
#99 of 129
Strength of victory
10.2
1 wins
Record SOS
0.449
Opp. 46.1% · Opp. opp. 42.6%
Remaining SOS
32.1
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-3
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morgan State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Towson | L 22-27 | +2.9 | −1.9 | 0.294 | 2 | −3.7 |
| 6 | at Georgetown | L 24-27 | −5.5 | +1.9 | 0.196 | 3 | −7.0 |
| 9 | at Howard | L 27-33 OT | −10.9 | +1.9 | 0.111 | 3 | −12.0 |
| 10 | at South Carolina State | L 30-36 | +6.7 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs North Carolina Central · p 0.321
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at South AlabamaFBS · L 21-38
- Wk 3: at ToledoFBS · L 0-60
- Wk 4: vs Central State (OH)DII · W 27-0
- Wk 5: vs (N) Miles CollegeDII · W 24-17
- Wk 7: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 44-6